For each team, I'm going to list the won-lost record of their remaining opponents (weighted by the number of games per opponent) and the expected wins and losses for the opponents in the remaining games based on their won-lost percentage. So when I write "ATL .460 20.2-23.8" I'm saying the Braves's remaining opponents have a .460 winning percentage, which equates to a 20.2-23.8 record over Atlanta's remaining 44 games.
COMMENT: I hit up this one last week. Nothing here to suggest an material advantage for anyone.
COMMENT: The Dodgers' remaining out-of-division opponents are the Marlins, Mets, Phillies, Cubs, Reds, and Red Sox. The Diamondbacks have the Phillies, Nationals, Reds, Pirates, Orioles, and Blue Jays. That's a nice advantage for LA. As for the wild cards, the NL Central teams have a decent lead that the Diamondbacks' schedule doesn't make any less daunting.
COMMENT: The remaining schedule is a little tougher on the Orioles than the Rays. That could be a difference-maker in the battle between those teams. The O's start today 1.5 games behind Tampa Bay, 2 in the loss column.
COMMENT: We're not talking a huge difference here, but Texas's easiest-in-the-AL remaining schedule could enable it to hold on to the division lead and avoid what Joe Sheehan has called The Coin Flip Game. Its remaining out-of-division games are against two good teams (Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh), one okay one (Kansas City) and three bad ones (Minnesota, Milwaukee, the White Sox). They also have six home games remaining with the Astros. The A's still have series with Tampa Bay, Baltimore, Cleveland, and Detroit - all above .500, though they also play seven against the Twins and seven at home against Houston. In a tight wild card race among Tampa, Baltimore, and whoever doesn't win the AL West, the Rangers' and A's seem to have a bit of an inside track.
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